Rupert
Douglas-Bate visited Afghanistan in May and June 2010,
to research the domain of sustainable job creation. A
sustainable job is one where someone gains a skill enabling
them to create an immediate and enduring income, wherever
they are. Start-up costs are usually minimal. Shoe mending,
car maintenance, carpentry are examples. Government or
public jobs are not defined here, as sustainable, as nearly
always they have to be paid for by the taxes levied on
sustainable jobs.
In Afghanistan unemployment is at 40% and
that’s not including underemployment. The ‘dangerous
demographic’ are the 3 million young men, aged between
15 to 30 years old, these are the ones who pick up a gun
and fight for money or excitement.
The visit confirmed that to achieve long-term peace the
primary strategy must be on poverty reduction, by establishing
national job-skill training programs as an integral part
of the secondary school programs and by creating massive
numbers of sustainable jobs, especially for young men.
When young men take up training and jobs, their Parents,
local Mullahs and the Village Elders, must join with them
and promise to live in peace. The organisation that runs
this must not be corrupt.
In 2010, 80,000 secondary school leavers will graduate,
70% of them boys. By 2013 it will be 600,000 per year.
And this 600,000 will continue, year on year. Unless aggressive
forward looking national education programmes and sustainable
job creation measures are taken today, many of these young
people will become unemployed, as it is estimated there
will only be enough university places for 100,000 per
year in 2013. The questions that need to be asked today
are: “What will happen to unemployed but educated
youth ? Are they going to join Bin Laden ?”
Creating sustainable jobs could wisely be done, as an
honourable alternative to fighting, in a land where ‘Honour’
is an incredibly important consideration. In Afghanistan,
‘Honour’ begins by talking at length with
local Leaders, meaning Mullahs, Village Elders, Fathers,
local Government.
Rupert took with him ideas and schematics to illustrate
to the various donors how information on ‘job gaps’
could be collected and mapped. This mapping could feed
directly into a realistic sustainable job programme.
On his return, he also created some visualizations (‘mind
maps’) and a couple of articles.